This episode is a recording of an X Space I had the pleasure of hosting on March 24th. It features a compelling debate between Kevin Brent Cook and Grain of Salt on Josh Mandell’s precise and publicly stated prediction that Bitcoin would hit $84,000 on Pi Day, March 14th.
Kevin argues that many are being fooled by randomness. Grain believes Josh is simply an elite trader — and maybe even tapped into something unconventional. Memories, multiverses, time loops? Who knows.
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––– Get To Know Today’s Guests–––
Grain of Salt on X: https://x.com/gkrizek
Kevin Brent Cook on X: https://x.com/voltage_cloud
Joe Carlasare on X: https://x.com/JoeCarlasare
Josh Mandell on X: https://x.com/JoshMandell6
––– Socials –––
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––– Chapters –––
00:00 – Intro
02:30 – Kevin, Grain of Salt and Joe Carlasare’s Backstories
07:30 – Discovering Probability & Mental Models in Trading
12:30 – Why Kevin Created Risk Software for the Brain
17:30 – Grain’s Bitcoin Origin Story & Full Send in 2017
22:30 – The Market Isn’t Efficient: Arbitraging Belief and Behavior
27:30 – Was Josh’s Prediction a Fluke or a Skill?
32:30 – The Power of Positioning and Mindset in Trading
37:30 – Memory, Multiverses & Numerology in Market Prediction
42:30 – The CME Gap, Sovereign FOMO & Options Mechanics
47:30 – Philosophical Clash: Rationality vs Comfort with the Unknown
52:30 – Closing Thoughts I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude to all of you for tuning in, supporting the show, and contributing. Thank you for listening!
